U.S. Health Care Spending

Health care spending is a major concern for many Americans. Pharmaceuticals are the only health care sector with a cost containment mechanism built into the patent process whereby generic versions of higher cost brand name prescription medicines eventually become available. Pharmaceuticals account for around 10% of annual total health care spending. Over the next decade, growth in prescription medicine spending is expected to slow as more brand name products lose patent protection, generic usage grows and the approval and entry of new prescription medicines into the market slows. Slowing pharmaceutical growth raises some concerns as fewer funds become available for the research and development of new treatments and cures.

Background

Health care spending was a key issue during the turbulent health reform debate in 2009 and 2010. Surprising to many, prescription medicines only account for approximately 10 cents out of every dollar spent on health care.1 Over the past few years, the increased use of cheaper generics, driven mainly by patent expirations, and fewer new product launches have reduced prescription medicine spending growth to the lowest rates since 1963.2 Looking ahead, growth in annual prescription medicine spending is expected to hover only around 5% between 2009 and 2014 according to official government estimates. Other health care experts estimate the growth to be lower over a good portion of the coming decade.3 As a result of the recession and subsequent recovery, health care will continue to capture a larger portion of GDP due to lower growth rates in other sectors of the economy. However, with over 70% of all prescriptions being filled as cheaper generics and $136 billion worth of patent protected sales expiring over the next five years, the pharmaceutical industry's impact on overall health care expenditures will continue to be minimized.4 This trend will be compounded by the fact that there are fewer prescription medicines currently scheduled for future development. Those prescription medicines making it through clinical trials will face a more stringent FDA approval process which will further reduce the industry's overall impact on health care spending. Reigning in total health expenditures without sacrificing quality will require looking holistically at the entire health care system and focusing on areas of inefficiency beyond individual sectors whose growth is already modest. Focusing too heavily on prescription medicine spending could choke off essential revenue needed for the research and development of future medicines.

Key Facts and Figures

  • Prescription medicines account for approximately 10% of total health care costs.5


  • Approximately 70% of all prescriptions filled are cheaper generics.6



  • In 2007 through 2009, spending on prescription medicines grew at the slowest rate in over 30 years.7

  • The industry will lose $136 billion in patent expirations in the next five years (between 2010 and 2014).8

Pfizer's Position

Pfizer recognizes the concern over rising health care spending in the U.S. Under the new health reform law, Pfizer has agreed to increased rebates and fees in an effort to bring total spending under control. However, policymakers should be aware that medicines are a relatively inexpensive option relative to other health care interventions and only a very small percentage of total health spending. Focusing on prescription medicine expenditures as a means to tame overall health care spending ignores other significant factors driving spending growth and runs the risk of reducing investment dollars for tomorrow's medicines.


1Health Expenditures, http://www.cms.hhs.gov/NationalHealthExpendData/downloads/proj2008.pdf accessed 4-01-2009.

2Hartman, M, et al. National Health Spending in 2007: Slower Drug Spending Contributes to Lowest Rate of Overall Growth Since 1998. Health Affairs. January/February 2009;246-261.

3IMS Market Prognosis North America 2010-2014 March 2010

4M. Aitken, "The Impact of Health care System Changes on the Pharmaceutical and Diagnostic Industries: Implications for Genomic Technologies." Secretary of Health and Human Services Advisory Committee on Genetics, Health, and Society. June 11, 2009.

5CMS Historical and Projected National Health Expenditures1965-2018. Table from NHE65-18.zip. Available at www.cms.gov

6(a) Incentives to Discover New Medicines: Pharmaceutical Patents. Chapter 5 in PhRMA Pharmaceutical Industry Profile 2003; PPR Communications (b) Generics 2002: A Concise Guide. IMS: 2004 Update. (c) PhRMA Annual Report 2006-07. http://www.phrma.org/profiles_%26_reports/. Accessed November 3, 2006. (4) IMS. update for 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010 (YTD 6/10).

7National Health Expenditures, 2010 release accessed cms.hhs.gov.

8M. Aitken, "The Impact of Health care System Changes on the Pharmaceutical and Diagnostic Industries: Implications for Genomic Technologies." Secretary of Health and Human Services Advisory Committee on Genetics, Health, and Society. June 11, 2009.

Originally published: February 2011